Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 236.043389 266.252899 299.922840 340.430133 388.102572 442.745930 510.579804
2024-10-13 186.050372 224.175313 270.437523 331.455093 410.949584 512.617052 655.159880
2024-10-20 161.365170 202.804015 255.939790 330.477653 434.675603 578.864766 800.390333
2024-10-27 138.757165 179.742286 234.440776 314.755741 433.198538 607.495776 895.791619
2024-11-03 130.688960 174.418373 235.151958 328.559766 474.166524 702.909284 1113.150516
2024-11-10 124.971744 171.333773 238.099748 345.289311 521.374589 816.088256 1389.247865
2024-11-17 115.913835 162.283883 230.991052 345.143644 540.836506 886.083518 1605.781439
2024-11-24 106.114875 151.094038 219.295793 335.839263 542.850414 924.753294 1770.433812
2024-12-01 97.873408 141.492006 209.025640 327.432551 544.785942 963.005589 1944.649350
2024-12-08 94.245764 138.687744 209.204984 336.679382 580.139009 1073.417084 2319.336511
2024-12-15 89.510917 133.686033 205.237921 337.981464 600.304534 1156.422306 2657.023483
2024-12-22 84.083861 127.121746 198.029088 332.457523 605.883287 1208.524747 2932.027390
2024-12-29 79.912880 122.460755 193.903254 332.684556 624.375978 1296.823574 3357.091052
2025-01-05 74.658929 115.627434 185.452007 323.735917 622.131541 1335.687155 3651.330673
2025-01-12 71.115749 111.446202 181.339342 322.805570 637.357071 1422.073328 4148.237151
2025-01-19 65.866919 103.968887 170.680484 307.539133 617.598177 1412.114618 4296.728769
2025-01-26 64.946682 104.002760 173.802349 320.942369 667.270818 1605.371712 5346.109516
2025-02-02 64.385259 104.616105 178.031258 337.180175 727.003309 1847.293174 6803.509402
2025-02-09 61.882568 101.534575 174.915988 337.038817 745.175237 1967.748939 7799.679439
2025-02-16 58.564135 96.755281 168.141117 328.008669 738.498069 2005.961233 8403.374059
2025-02-23 55.583646 92.442787 162.004274 319.848049 733.037409 2047.612857 9072.191962
2025-03-02 54.608130 91.830615 163.215900 328.824106 776.797813 2277.659742 11154.401853
2025-03-09 52.908481 89.738449 161.259579 330.087904 798.806150 2436.054159 12976.990614